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nCoV19, opinions?


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#1 corasmom

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Posted 29 January 2020 - 01:57 PM

So it's not horse related.... however, I am interested to see what everyone thinks of this. What, if anything , are you doing differently? Opinions on origination and how truthful China has been.
Any nurses out there?

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#2 karens

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Posted 30 January 2020 - 11:17 AM

It is an interesting topic. Though not horse related, seems that such novel viruses most commonly originate in China, likely from poultry production. I just watched a Netflix series called Pandemic, with gives more thoughtful info, tho not all that I agree with. I am a nurse, and more. I think it has the possibility of being serious for the world, too early to tell...so far, I'm not doing anything differently, but I live in a rural area, not around crowds much.

 

I'm off to the vet now, can't find the cat, so will take the dog! Will check back later.



#3 JRdesire

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Posted 30 January 2020 - 06:53 PM

They just reported the first case of someone being observed for potential infection in KS.  http://www.kdheks.go...virus/index.htm


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#4 corasmom

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Posted 30 January 2020 - 07:13 PM

More than 100 possible #coronavirus cases now being monitored across the #US including one in Northern Virginia (George Mason University)r

Liang Zhuowei, Dean of the School of Medicine of the University of Hong Kong, said that according to the research model analysis, the current outbreak of new #coronaviruses *doubles every 6.2 days*. It is estimated that *44,000* people already have been infected in #Wuhan


Copy pasted this info from a Twitter page:
Novel Coronavirus News
@nCOV19
Tracking the latest outbreak of Coronavirus.


In my non-nursing opinion
I think the barn door has been open for months...all the horses are out and wrangling will be very difficult!
I have read this started the end of last year. With travel as easy as it is , I believe this is in almost every nation and every state . The lack of transparency on China's part irks me, doesn't surprise me. Last I heard they haven't let our CDC in. The head of WHO is from China. Not sure if he'll be allowed to tell the truth, even if he knows it. I would like to know how long it lives on surfaces and if Lysol kills it.

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#5 corasmom

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Posted 30 January 2020 - 07:23 PM

I also have a great concern for our college students, especially those at private institutions. Locally we have a private university that has allowed access to one of its dorm facilities to another private "school", ran by a local "church". While the university requires certain vaccinations, the other may or may not. The "other school" will not provide , nor is it probably legally required to, immunizations records or even what if any vaccines they require for admission to the university's nurse. This really , really bothers me. Both the university, but even more the "school" have many foreign students.

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#6 JRdesire

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Posted 30 January 2020 - 07:28 PM

I agree with you Corasmom.  I can't remember which state it is, pretty sure it was on the east coast but they made it mandatory for all parents to vaccinate their kids.  They could no longer hide behind personal and religious views.  If people don't want to vaccinate their kids, then, their kids should never be allowed to leave their house.  But I digress....


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#7 corasmom

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Posted 30 January 2020 - 07:33 PM

Karen's,
If you understand this, could you explain it to me?

Findings The early outbreak data largely follows the exponential growth. We estimated that the mean R0 ranges from 3.30 (95%CI: 2.73-3.96) to 5.47 (95%CI: 4.16-7.10) associated with 0-fold to 2-fold increase in the reporting rate. With rising report rate, the mean R0 is likely to be below 5 but above 3.

Conclusion The mean estimate of R0 for the 2019-nCoV ranges from 3.30 (95%CI: 2.73-3.96) to 5.47 (95%CI: 4.16-7.10), and significantly larger than 1. Our findings indicate the potential of 2019-nCoV to cause outbreaks.

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#8 JRdesire

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Posted 30 January 2020 - 07:35 PM

I don't really understand any of that, but did find this article explaining RO values.

 

https://vitals.lifeh...tter-1841264885


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#9 corasmom

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Posted 30 January 2020 - 08:04 PM

Thank you JRdesire,
So they are comparing this virus to HIV, Hep B and Lyme disease as far as ease of transmission IF I am reading correctly. Worse than SARS , Cholera, and Typhoid fever.
Hopefully people will take their own care seriously.

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#10 JRdesire

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Posted 30 January 2020 - 08:52 PM

That's how I read it too.  I hope anyone w/a more advanced understanding of this topic to chime in.  


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